Marvin Clark |
Here Comes 2011
Welcome to 2011, the year of the Long-Term Evolution (LTE), A.K.A., G4 wireless connectivity. Only Verizon Wireless is offering it as I write this, but only through USB Modems. Smartphones will be out later this year; so it’s here but just not available now to change your life.
The promised upgrade in broadband, whether we want it or can afford it, is a perfect metaphor for the upcoming collision between economic reality and political machinations. One of three things will happen as the 112th Congress is sworn in; a) it will continue business as usual, b) it will change spending in Washington DC, or c) our creditors will take away our charge card. America is unprepared for all three. Choice b would be not to raise the federal debt – much easier said than done. Choice a will debase the Dollar and cause inflation before the second leg of the 2008 Depression starts (Oh, and you thought we were pass that...
Should the Feds Create Inflation? This Time It Is Different
Through the bombs bursting in the Korean Peninsula’s air, minutes of the FOMC meeting were released Wednesday. The division over Quantitative Easing II (QE II) wasn't as intense as the 58 year old NoKo/SoKo conflict. However, I have reservations with this logic in 2010 of affirmative voting Fed members’ confidence behind QE II theory of inflating asset prices will put a halt to deflation.
That QE II will create a wealth effect and stimulate consumer spending, the easy stuff like the dubious weekly Jobless Claims dropped to 407,000 from a previous week upward revision to 441,000, from 439,000 is showing a positive trend.
Also, The Reuter's/University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index rose for November to 71.6 and third quarter GDP growth was revised up to a 2.5% annual growth from an estimate of 2.4%. The hard stuff, physical things like durable goods and housing (found below) tell a different story. Durables orders in October fell 3.3 percent, a figure below the median market forecast...
